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Future Changes of Summer Monsoon Characteristics and Evaporative Demand Over Asia in CMIP6 Simulations

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Title
Future Changes of Summer Monsoon Characteristics and Evaporative Demand Over Asia in CMIP6 Simulations
Author(s)
Kyung-Ja Ha; Suyeon Moon; Axel Timmermann; Daeha Kim
Subject
Asian regional monsoons, ; CMIP6, ; extremes, ; monsoon duration, ; monsoon season
Publication Date
2020-04
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters, v.47, no.8, pp.e2020GL087
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
Abstract
©2020. The Authors. Future greenhouse warming is expected to influence the characteristics of global monsoon systems. However, large regional uncertainties still remain. Here we use 16 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models to determine how the length of the summer rainy season and precipitation extremes over the Asian summer monsoon domain will change in response to greenhouse warming. Over East Asia the models simulate on average on the earlier onset and later retreat; whereas over India, the retreat will occur later. The model simulations also show an intensification of extreme rainfall events, as well as an increase of seasonal drought conditions. These results demonstrate the high volatility of the Asian summer monsoon systems and further highlight the need for improved water management strategies in this densely populated part of the world
URI
https://pr.ibs.re.kr/handle/8788114/8677
DOI
10.1029/2020GL087492
ISSN
0094-8276
Appears in Collections:
Center for Climate Physics(기후물리 연구단) > 1. Journal Papers (저널논문)
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